U.S. drillers add oil rigs for 21st week in 24 -Baker Hughes

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U.S. oil drillers increased rigs this week for a 21th week in the last 24, as energy firms follow through on plans to add rigs made months ago when crude was still trading over the key $50 a barrel level analysts said should lead to more drilling.

Drillers added two oil rigs in the week to Nov. 11, bringing the total count up to 452, the most since February, but still below the 574 rigs seen a year ago, energy services firm Baker Hughes Inc said on Friday.

Since crude topped $50 a barrel in May, June and October, drillers have added 136 oil rigs, its biggest recovery in over two years since prices collapsed due to a global oil glut.

The Baker Hughes oil rig count plunged from a record 1,609 in October 2014 to a six-year low of 316 in May as U.S. crude collapsed from over $107 a barrel in June 2014 to near $26 in February 2016.

U.S. crude futures were trading above $43 a barrel on Friday, on track to fall for a third week in a row after OPEC said its output in October reached a record high, casting doubt on whether its plans to limit production would ease persistent oversupply in the market. [O/R]

But with oil prices still expected to rise in 2017 and 2018 with a projected tightening of the supply-demand balance, analysts continued to expect energy firms to follow through on previously announced plans to boost spending on new drilling in coming years.

Futures were trading near $47 a barrel for calendar 2017 and near $50 for calendar 2018.

Analysts at U.S. financial services firm Cowen & Co said this week in a note that its capital expenditure tracking showed 17 exploration and production (E&P) companies, including ConocoPhillips and Concho Resources Inc, planned to increase spending by an average of 33 percent in 2017 over 2016.

Cowen said that forecast 2017 increase followed an estimated 48 percent decline in 2016 and a 35 percent decline in 2015 for the 65 E&P companies it tracks.

Analysts at Simmons & Co, energy specialists at U.S. investment bank Piper Jaffray, this week forecast the total oil and natural gas rig count would average 504 in 2016, 685 in 2017 and 896 in 2018. Most wells produce both oil and gas.

That compares with an average of 978 oil and gas rigs active in 2015, according to Baker Hughes data. Thanks.

UPDATE 2-U.S. tentatively approves Delta-Aeromexico venture

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WASHINGTON/NEW YORK Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL.N) and Aeromexico can set prices and coordinate schedules for their U.S.-Mexico flights, but they must free up certain airport slots to bolster competition, the U.S. Transportation Department tentatively ruled on Friday.

The decision paves the way for the two companies to dominate the second-busiest market for travel to or from the United States. It comes after the U.S. airline industry has consolidated, with carriers operating more efficient itineraries and having more power to raise fares on some routes.

Opponents of the tentative ruling, which lets the airlines cooperate with immunity from U.S. antitrust law, have until Nov. 30 to raise objections.

The department said the decision benefits the public because Delta and Grupo Aeromexico SAB de CV (AEROMEX.MX) can plan shorter layovers, increase flights and offer more destinations. The U.S. government has approved similar arrangements for many other airlines.

However, the department has proposed that the carriers divest 24 takeoff and landing slots in Mexico City and six at New York's John F. Kennedy International Airport to give budget airlines room to add flights.

Slot allocation in Mexico City depends "on confusing and often unwritten rules, making it extremely difficult for new entrants," the department said. "This remedy would allow for new, competitive entry at these airports that would not otherwise be possible."

In an unusual move, the department also proposed limiting Delta and Aeromexico's antitrust immunity to five years because it was unclear whether the divestitures and reforms in Mexico City would be enough to ensure low fares for travelers.

In a statement, Delta said it was reviewing the tentative decision and looked forward to implementing a cooperation agreement with Aeromexico. It is in the process of buying 49 percent of Aeromexico, similar to stakes it has taken in other airlines to influence how they operate and where they fly.

Friday's ruling "really gives Delta a huge advantage" over United Continental Holdings Inc (UAL.N) and American Airlines Group Inc (AAL.O), which will be unable to compete for Mexico flights outside their major hubs, said industry consultant Robert Mann.

Delta's shares were up nearly 3 percent at $43.03 on Friday afternoon. Aeromexico's rose nearly 5 percent.

Budget carrier JetBlue Airways Corp (JBLU.O), which had wanted the airlines to divest at least 30 slots in Mexico City, said it commended the department for ensuring greater airport access.

Aeromexico did not immediately comment.

Mexico's federal competition commission approved the airlines' joint venture in May. Thanks.

WRAPUP 5-Strong U.S. job growth, rising wages boost Dec rate hike prospects

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WASHINGTON U.S. employers maintained a strong pace of hiring in October and boosted wages for workers, which could effectively seal the case for a December interest rate increase from the Federal Reserve.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 161,000 jobs last month amid gains in construction, healthcare and professional and business services, the Labor Department said on Friday. The closely watched employment report was published four days before the Nov. 8 presidential election.

The solid labor market fundamentals were also underscored by revisions to August and September data, which showed 44,000 more jobs created than previously reported. Average hourly earnings rose 10 cents or 0.4 percent in October.

As a result, the year-on-year gain in wages last month rose to 2.8 percent, the largest in nearly 7-1/2 years.

"This was a very good report. With the hourly wage number beginning to accelerate, the Fed will have all the cover it needs to raise rates in December," said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvania.

The report came on the heels of data last week showing an acceleration in economic growth in the third quarter. Businesses have created 15.5 million jobs since 2010, with almost half of them high wage jobs. Even Americans holding low-income jobs are starting to experience wage gains.

Economists said that could provide a lift to Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton against her Republican rival Donald Trump as the race for the White House tightens and becomes increasingly bitter and divisive.

Speaking in Pittsburgh on Friday Clinton hailed the 73 straight months of job gains and took a swipe at Trump's tax proposal, which she said would to give the biggest tax breaks in history to wealthy Americans.

"I believe in growth from the middle out and bottom up. When the middle class thrives, America thrives," said Clinton. "Donald Trump believes in something different. He wants an economy that works for him."

Trump dismissed the low unemployment rate and other economic data as "phony."

"These numbers are absolute disaster. Nobody believes the numbers anyway. The numbers they put out are phony," Trump told supporters in Atkinson, New Hampshire.

Though the U.S. central bank is expected to increase borrowing costs at the Dec. 13-14 policy meeting, that decision will likely depend on the outcome of Tuesday's election.

Financial markets view Clinton as the candidate of the status quo, while many investors fear that a Trump victory would carry risks to global trade and growth.

The dollar was trading almost flat against a basket of currencies, while U.S. Treasuries were higher. U.S. stocks rose, with the S&P 500 index on track to snap its eight-day losing streak.

The unemployment rate fell one-tenth of a percentage point to 4.9 percent last month, in part as people dropped out of the labor force. A broad measure of unemployment that includes people who want to work but have given up searching and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment fell two-tenths of a percentage point to an 8-1/2 year low of 9.5 percent.

The Fed on Wednesday left interest rates unchanged but said its monetary policy-setting committee "judges that the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has continued to strengthen." It lifted its benchmark overnight interest rate last December for the first time in nearly a decade.

TREND HAS SLOWED

The trend in employment growth has slowed as the labor market nears full employment and the economy's recovery from the 2007-09 recession shows signs of aging.

Employment growth so far this year has averaged 181,000 jobs per month, down from an average gain of 229,000 per month in 2015. Still, the monthly job gains are more than enough to absorb new entrants into the labor market.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen has said the economy needs to create just under 100,000 jobs a month to keep up with growth in the work-age population.

October's rise in average hourly earnings added to September's 0.3 percent gain. The year-on-year increase was the biggest advance since June 2009 and followed a 2.7 percent rise in September.

"This is good news for the average worker who's probably seeing a little more in their paychecks, spending a little more freely, or maybe even starting to save a little for retirement," said Scott Anderson, chief economist at Bank of the West in San Francisco.

The Fed on Wednesday struck a fairly upbeat note on inflation, saying price pressures had "increased somewhat since earlier this year."

Still, wage growth remains moderate and economists blame this on a low labor force participation rate.

The participation rate, or the share of working-age Americans who are employed or at least looking for a job, fell 0.1 percentage point to 62.8 percent last month, not too far from multi-decade lows, in part reflecting demographic changes.

The solid payrolls gain accompanied by the surge in wages could support consumer spending heading into the holiday season, and in turn keep the economy on a relatively higher growth path.

While the household survey showed a large increase in the number of people saying they could not get to work because of bad weather, the department said it was difficult to assess the impact of Hurricane Matthew on job growth last month.

The storm lashed the east coast of the country last month, causing extensive flooding. The average workweek held steady at 34.4 hours.

Construction payrolls increased 11,000, rising for a second straight month. But manufacturing employment fell 9,000 last month, falling for a third straight month.

Retail sector employment surprisingly fell 1,100 jobs, despite anecdotal evidence retailers had embarked on early hiring for the holiday season.

Professional and business services payrolls rose 43,000. Healthcare and social assistance employment increased 39,100 last month. Temporary-help jobs, a harbinger for future hiring, increased 6,400. Government employment rose by 19,000 jobs. Thanks.

UPDATE 3-ADM profit jumps on higher U.S. grain exports; shares rise

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CHICAGO U.S. agricultural products trader Archer Daniels Midland Co (ADM.N) on Tuesday reported a far better-than-expected third-quarter profit on Tuesday as higher U.S. exports of corn and soybeans boosted volumes and margins.

U.S. farmers have nearly completed what is expected to be the largest corn and soybean harvests on record, which should benefit ADM again in the current quarter.

"With improving market conditions and a large U.S. harvest, combined with the team's solid execution capabilities, we feel good about the remainder of the year and a stronger 2017," Chief Executive Officer Juan Luciano said in a statement.

ADM shares were up nearly 4 percent at $45.25 in premarket trading.

Chicago-based ADM makes money buying, selling, storing, transporting and processing grains and oilseeds around the world. Margins are typically thin, but volumes are massive when crop supplies are abundant and prices are low, as they are now.

Export sales of corn and soybeans from the United States were well ahead of the normal pace in the third quarter due to crop shortages in South America.

Net earnings attributable to the company rose to $341 million, or 58 cents per share, in the quarter, from $252 million, or 41 cents, a year earlier.

Revenue fell 4.4 percent to $15.83 billion.

Excluding items, ADM earned 59 cents per share, beating the average analyst estimate of 46 cents a share, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

ADM's agricultural services unit, its largest in terms of revenue, gained from the shift in export demand to North America, with earnings totaling a net $195 million, up 31 percent from a year earlier.

Although ethanol earnings trailed a year ago, lower corn prices boosted results in corn processing. Adjusted profit in the segment jumped 30 percent to $214 million in the quarter.

ADM said it is expecting final proposals for a deal for its ethanol-producing corn dry mills by the end of 2016. The company is looking to sell or find a partner for the assets amid frustration over a persistent oversupply in the market that has thinned margins for making the biofuel.

Results in the oilseeds processing business were dragged down by weak soy processing margins, reduced South American crop supplies and a steep quarterly loss at Wilmar International Ltd (WLIL.SI). ADM owns about 23 percent of the Singapore-based vegetable oils processor. Thanks

India offers to buy 200 foreign combat jets - if they're Made-in-India

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NEW DELHI India is offering to buy hundreds of fighter planes from foreign manufacturers - as long as the jets are made in India and with a local partner, air force officials say.

A deal for 200 single-engine planes produced in India - which the air force says could rise to 300 as it fully phases out aging Soviet-era aircraft - could be worth anything from $13-$15 billion, experts say, potentially one of the country's biggest military aircraft deals.

After a deal to buy high-end Rafale planes from France's Dassault was scaled back to just 36 jets last month, the Indian Air Force is desperately trying to speed up other acquisitions and arrest a fall in operational strength, now a third less than required to face both China and Pakistan.

But Prime Minister Narendra Modi's administration wants any further military planes to be built in India with an Indian partner to kickstart a domestic aircraft industry, and end an expensive addiction to imports.

Lockheed Martin said it is interested in setting up a production line for its F-16 plane in India for not just the Indian military, but also for export.

And Sweden's Saab has offered a rival production line for its Gripen aircraft, setting up an early contest for one of the biggest military plane deals in play.

"The immediate shortfall is 200. That would be the minimum we would be looking at," said an air officer briefed on the Make-in-India plans under which a foreign manufacturer will partner local firms to build the aircraft with technology transfer.

India's defense ministry has written to several companies asking if they would be willing to set up an assembly line for single-engine fighter planes in India and the amount of technology transfer that would happen, another government source said.

"We are testing the waters, testing the foreign firms' willingness to move production here and to find out their expectations," the person said.

OPERATIONAL GAPS

India's air force originally planned for 126 Rafale twin-engine fighters from Dassault, but the two sides could not agree on the terms of local production with a state-run Indian firm and settled for 36 planes in a fly-away condition.

Adding to the military's problems is India's three-decade effort to build a single-engine fighter of its own which was meant to be the backbone of the air force. Only two of those Light Combat Aircraft, called Tejas, have been delivered to the air force which has ordered 140 of them.

The Indian Air Force is down to 32 operational squadrons compared with the 45 it has said are necessary, and in March the vice chief Air Marshal B.S. Dhanoa told parliament's defense committee that it didn't have the operational strength to fight a two front war against China and Pakistan.

JET MAKERS RESPOND

Saab said it was ready to not only produce its frontline Gripen fighter in India, but help build a local aviation industry base.

"We are very experienced in transfer of technology – our way of working involves extensive cooperation with our partners to establish a complete ecosystem, not just an assembly line," said Jan Widerström, Chairman and Managing Director, Saab India Technologies.

He confirmed Saab had received the letter from the Indian government seeking a fourth generation fighter. A source close to the company said that while there was no minimum order set in stone for it to lay down a production line, they would expect to build at least 100 planes at the facility.

Lockheed Martin said it had responded to the defense ministry's letter with an offer to transfer the entire production of its F-16 fighter to India.

"Exclusive F-16 production in India would make India home to the world's only F-16 production facility, a leading exporter of advanced fighter aircraft, and offer Indian industry the opportunity to become an integral part of the world's largest fighter aircraft supply chain," Abhay Paranjape, National Executive for Lockheed Martin Aeronautics Business Development in India said in an email.

U.S. TOP SUPPLIER

Lockheed's offer comes on the back of expanding U.S.-India military ties in which Washington has emerged as India's top arms supplier in recent years, ousting old ally Russia.

Earlier this year Boeing also offered India its twin-engine F/A-18 Hornets, but the level of technology transfer was not clear.

India has never previously attempted to build a modern aircraft production line, whether military or civilian. State-run Hindustan Aeronautics (HAL) has assembled Russian combat jets including the Su-30, but these are under licensed production.

"We have never had control over technology. This represents the most serious attempt to build a domestic base. A full or a near-full tech transfer lays the ground for further development," said retired Indian air marshal M. Matheswaran, a former adviser at HAL.

He said the Indian government would be looking at producing at least 200 fighters, and then probably some more, to make up for the decades of delay in modernizing the air force.


BEIJING China's imports of North Korean coal run counter to global sanctions, a senior U.S. official said on Saturday, adding that a U.S. missile system deployed in South Korea should "motivate" Beijing to pressure Pyongyang over its nuclear program.


DOUE-LA-FONTAINE, France French President Francois Hollande said on Saturday he had spoken with British Prime Minister Theresa May to convey the message that Britain should take its share of responsibility for minors from the "Jungle" migrant camp of Calais.

 CAIRO An Egyptian court sentenced two Muslim Brotherhood supporters on Saturday to life in prison and 16 others to 15 years in jail for a violent assault on a Cairo neighborhood in 2013 after the ouster of former president Mohamed Mursi. Thanks.

UPDATE 1-Boeing CEO says will not cut 777 output rate by more than 2 a month

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NEW YORK Boeing Co (BA.N) will not cut production of the 777 jetliner by more than two planes a month and is taking more time to decide on whether a cut is even needed, Chief Executive Dennis Muilenburg said on Wednesday.

Boeing already plans to cut production of the wide-body plane to seven a month next year from 8.3 currently, and many experts expect a further cut to five a month due to slow sales and transition to a successor jet, the 777X.

The world's biggest planemaker also is studying whether to lift production of 787 Dreamliners to a planned 14 a month from 12, Muilenburg said. The company signaled that it wants to wait until several sales campaigns are finished in 2016 and 2017.

"We expect to have additional clarity on 777 production decisions in the next couple of months," Muilenburg said on a call with analysts.

"On the 787 program we have more time to further assess the implementation of the next production rate increase that is currently scheduled to ramp up to 14 per month at the end of the decade."

Boeing's production rates are bellwethers of market conditions, closely watched by investors for signs of the plane maker's future earnings and cash flow. Sales and profits at Boeing's many suppliers also are affected by changes in Boeing's factory rates.

While noting "hesitation" among airlines for buying wide-body planes such as the 777 and 787, Muilenburg said sales of narrow-body 737s are relatively strong.

He also said that even if Boeing decides to cut wide-body production "we continue to expect commercial aircraft deliveries to grow beyond 900 airplanes per year through the end of this decade," providing reassurance that overall deliveries will continue to rise from the 745 to 750 expected this year.

Earlier on Wednesday, the company beat profit expectations in the third quarter.

Oct 26 U.S. weapons maker Northrop Grumman Corp reported a 16.7 percent rise in quarterly profit on Wednesday, helped by higher sales in its aerospace systems business that makes the center fuselage of the F-35 fighter jets.

* Shares fall as much as 12 pct to $36.91 (Adds comment from conference call; updates shares)

 MOSCOW/STOCKHOLM Russia is sharply upgrading the firepower of its Baltic Fleet by adding warships armed with long-range cruise missiles to counter NATO's build-up in the region, Russian media reported on Wednesday. Thanks.