Showing posts with label Dollar. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dollar. Show all posts

Friday, 4 November 2016

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks jittery after election-linked selling; oil prices weak

Dear Viewers,

NEW YORK Global equity markets were jittery on Friday, even as Wall Street clung to modest gains as investors looked past worries about the outcome of the U.S. presidential election to snap an eight-day losing streak.

Oil prices remained weak on skepticism about whether OPEC members will adhere to planned production limits, boosting concerns about low inflation and sending U.S. Treasury prices higher.

A dismal outing for Asian and European share indexes weighed on MSCI's 47-country "All World" index .MIWD00000PUS, which was down 0.31 percent, but the index was supported by Wall Street.

U.S. stocks found favor with investors after eight straight days of losses, the longest losing streak since 2008, which sent the S&P 500 index down 2.9 percent.

"Investors are buying anything that looks like a dip and that is because the fundamentals continue to be pretty good even though I think there is a lot of anxiety about next week’s election," said Kate Warne, investment strategist with Edward Jones in St. Louis.

"With the pullback, I think investors are seeing some bargains out there."

An upbeat jobs report helped soothe nerves. U.S. employers maintained a strong pace of hiring in October and boosted wages, which could effectively seal the case for a December interest rate increase from the U.S. Federal Reserve. [nLNN4MEC7Q]

"This was a very good report. With the hourly wage number beginning to accelerate, the Fed will have all the cover it needs to raise rates in December," said Joel Naroff, chief economist at Naroff Economic Advisors in Holland, Pennsylvania.

Economists also said the upbeat employment report could provide a boost to Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton against her Republican rival Donald Trump as the race to the White House tightens and becomes increasingly bitter and divisive.

Investors have been unnerved by signs the race is tightening; Clinton had until recently been thought to have a clear lead.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 8.15 points, or 0.05 percent, to 17,922.52, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 1.76 points, or 0.08 percent, to 2,090.42 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC added 0.68 point, or 0.01 percent, to 5,059.09.

European shares slumped, weighed down by weaker drugmakers after two U.S. lawmakers called on federal antitrust regulators to open an investigation into possible price fixing.

Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index .FTEU3 closed down 0.79 percent at 1,296.32.

Oil futures were on course for their biggest weekly percentage declines since January of just under 10 percent as signs of tensions resurfaced between Saudi Arabia and Iran that could scupper a key supply cut pact.

Riyadh told a meeting of OPEC experts last week that it could raise oil output steeply to bring prices down if Tehran refuses to limit its supply, OPEC sources say.

Brent crude LCOc1 settled down 77 cents, or 1.66 percent, at $45.58 a barrel, and U.S. crude CLc1 settled down 59 cents, or 1.32 percent, at $44.07.

The weakness in oil prices raised concerns about low inflation and boosted U.S. Treasury prices. Uncertainty about the election also enhanced the appeal of the lower-risk assets.

Benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR were up 8/32 in price to yield 1.78 percent, after rising as high as 1.83 percent on the employment data.

While the solid U.S. jobs report supported expectations for a December Federal Reserve interest rate hike, it failed to stem losses for the U.S. dollar.

Nervousness ahead of next week's election has hit the greenback in recent days and the dollar index .DXY, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was down 0.1 pct, near a three-week low.

Gold steadied, heading for its biggest weekly rise since mid-September as jitters over the election offset the solid payrolls report.

Spot gold prices XAU= were little changed at $1,302.89 an ounce. Thanks.

Thursday, 3 November 2016

GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks slip on U.S. election nerves; pound up on Brexit ruling

Dear Viewers,

NEW YORK Global equity prices drifted lower on Thursday as worries about the U.S. presidential election continued to weigh on investor sentiment, while sterling rose after a UK court ruled that the British government needed Parliament's approval to trigger Brexit.

Longer-dated U.S. Treasury prices slipped after the Bank of England indicated that inflation is likely to rise further, and oil prices remained weak on skepticism about OPEC's planned production limit.

MSCI's 47-country "All World" index .MIWD00000PUS fell 0.37 percent, dragged down by weakness on Wall Street.

The S&P 500 .SPX fell for an eighth straight session, its longest losing streak since the 2008 financial crisis, as Facebook shares weighed and investors grappled with uncertainty over next week's U.S. election.

Facebook (FB.O) shares fell as much as 6 percent, a day after the social media giant warned that revenue growth would slow this quarter.

"The polls have tightened and now the concern is more about what might a Trump presidency look like and the market hasn't quite priced that in," said Ernie Cecilia, chief investment officer of Bryn Mawr Trust in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania.

"Given the fact that the election is five days away, that's what's driving near-term behavior right now."

Investors have been unnerved in recent days by signs that the U.S. presidential race between Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump was tightening just days before Tuesday's vote.

The CBOE Volatility Index .VIX, a gauge of near-term investor anxiety, rose 14 percent to its highest level since late June.

The Dow Jones industrial average .DJI fell 28.97 points, or 0.16 percent, to close at 17,930.67, the S&P 500 .SPX lost 9.28 points, or 0.44 percent, to finish at 2,088.66 and the Nasdaq Composite .IXIC dropped 47.16 points, or 0.92 percent, to end at 5,058.41.

The pan-European STOXX 600 ended flat, giving up early gains as a strengthened pound weighed on the shares of internationally exposed companies, including Diageo (DGE.L).

Sterling surged to a four-week high after the UK court ruling soothed concerns about Brexit and the Bank of England scrapped plans to cut interest rates. It climbed as much as 1.5 percent to hit $1.2494 GBP=D4, its strongest since Oct. 7.

Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar hovered near multi-week lows against a basket of major currencies, ending a morning reprieve in which the greenback stabilized, on uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. The dollar index .DXY was down 0.25 percent to 97.156.

"We're now seeing markets price in a higher risk of a Trump presidency," said Omer Esiner, chief market analyst at Commonwealth Foreign Exchange in Washington. "Most polls are still showing that it’s far too close to call, and that's ultimately what is keeping investors nervous."

In bond markets, longer-dated U.S. Treasury prices fell after the Bank of England indicated that inflation is likely to rise further, while uncertainty over the U.S. election propped up shorter-dated debt.

The BoE ramped up its forecasts for growth and predicted that inflation would jump to 2.7 percent this time next year, nearly triple its current level. [nL8N1D45PY]

Benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR ended down 5/32 in price to yield 1.82 percent, up from 1.80 percent late on Wednesday.

Oil prices extended their recent slide as investors reacted to a record weekly surge in U.S. crude inventories and remained skeptical about whether the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries can actually implement its planned output cap.

Brent crude LCOc1 settled down 51 cents, or 1.09 percent, at $46.35 a barrel, and U.S. crude CLc1 settled down 68 cents, or 1.50 percent, at $44.66.

Gold edged higher in response to the lower dollar and uncertainty about the outcome of the U.S. presidential race.

Spot gold prices XAU= were up 0.49 percent to $1,303.26.  Thanks.

Wednesday, 2 November 2016

FOREX-Dollar slumps against euro, jumps against peso on potential Trump win

Dear Viewers,

NEW YORK The U.S. dollar hit its lowest level in more than three weeks against the euro, yen, Swiss franc and sterling on Wednesday on nervousness about a potential victory for U.S. Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump next week.

Investors are rethinking long-held bets on a Nov. 8 victory for Democrat Hillary Clinton. Clinton held a 5 percentage point lead over Trump, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Monday, but some other polls showed her Republican rival ahead by 1 to 2 percentage points.

The dollar index .DXY, which measures the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was last down 0.3 percent at 97.403, after falling 0.6 percent to 97.178, its lowest level since Oct. 11.

The Mexican peso tumbled to a more than one-month low against the greenback, at 19.4667 pesos MXN= per dollar, on fears of how a Trump victory could hurt the Mexican economy.

Clinton is viewed as the candidate of the status quo, while there is greater uncertainty over what a Trump victory might mean for U.S. foreign policy, international trade and the domestic economy.

"There is a huge amount of unknown unknowns around Trump," said Richard Franulovich, a senior currency strategist at Westpac Banking Corp in New York.

The euro EUR= was last up 0.3 percent at $1.1088 after rising 0.6 percent in afternoon trading to $1.1123, its highest level since Oct. 11. Against the yen the dollar was down 0.7 percent, at 103.40 yen, after falling 1 percent earlier to 103.03 yen, its lowest level Oct. 10.

The dollar was last down 0.2 percent against the Swiss franc CHF=, at 0.9733 franc, after earlier falling about 0.6 percent to 0.9695, its lowest level in roughly a month.

The dollar pared losses after the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged in its last policy decision before the U.S. election, but signaled it could hike rates in December as the economy gathers momentum and inflation picks up.

The move in the dollar was mild, analysts said, because U.S. political uncertainty largely overshadowed the central bank's statement.

The Mexican peso suffered MXN= a roughly 1.4 percent drop against the dollar. A possible Trump victory has been viewed as a key risk for the Mexican currency given the candidate's promises to clamp down on immigration and rethink trade relations.

"The peso weakening is a reflection of the increase in momentum from the polls favoring Trump," said Mazen Issa, senior currency strategist at TD Securities in New York. Thanks.

Wednesday, 26 October 2016

UPDATE 3-Northrop posts 16.7 pct profit rise, raises full-year forecast

Dear Viewers,

U.S. weapons maker Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC.N) reported a 16.7 percent rise in quarterly profit on Wednesday, helped by higher sales in its aerospace systems business that makes the center fuselage of the F-35 fighter jets.

Northrop shares hit an all-time high of $229.45 and were still up 3.9 percent at $228.10 in afternoon trading.

Last October, Northrop won the contract to produce the "Raider," the U.S. Air Force's new B-21 long-range bomber. The estimated $80 billion program, expected to produce 100 aircraft, has been shrouded in secrecy since its inception. It is expected to have aircraft ready for combat no sooner than 2025.

The maker of Global Hawk surveillance planes raised its 2016 earnings forecast for the third time this year to a range of $11.55 to $11.75 per share from $10.75 to $11.00. In January, Northrop estimated that 2016 EPS could be between $9.90 and $10.39.

The company now expects full-year sales of $23.9 billion to $24.1 billion, up from $23.5 billion to $24.0 billion.

Analysts, on average, expect 2016 earnings of $11.05 per share, on revenue of $23.82 billion, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.

Northrop's earnings came a day after Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT.N) reported better-than-expected results and lifted 2016 forecasts, partly due to higher sales from the F-35 program.

The F-35 is the Pentagon's costliest arms program. The U.S. Defense Department expects to spend $391 billion to develop the plane and buy 2,443 of the supersonic, stealthy new warplanes in the coming decades.

Northrop makes the center fuselage for the F-35, which forms a significant portion of the aircraft's internal weapons bay and internal fuel capacity.

Third-quarter revenue at Northrop's aerospace systems business increased 9.4 percent to $2.78 billion.

Help came from increased sales in the F-35 business and increased buying in top-secret programs as well as sales of autonomous systems.

Northrop CFO Ken Bedingfield told analysts on a conference call that the F-35 program now represents about 7 percent of revenue. CEO Wes Bush added that once F-35 production achieves full capacity, the profitability of that program should grow.

Northrop's third-quarter net earnings rose to $602 million, or $3.35 per share, from $516 million, or $2.75 per share, a year earlier. (bit.ly/2eR8BSK)

The profit included a federal tax benefit of $42 million, or 23 cents per share.

Total sales rose 2.9 percent to $6.16 billion.

So far this year Northrop's shares have risen more than 20 percent.


NEW YORK Boeing Co will not cut production of the 777 jetliner by more than two planes a month and is taking more time to decide on whether a cut is even needed, Chief Executive Dennis Muilenburg said on Wednesday.

MOSCOW/STOCKHOLM Russia is sharply upgrading the firepower of its Baltic Fleet by adding warships armed with long-range cruise missiles to counter NATO's build-up in the region, Russian media reported on Wednesday. Thanks.

Tuesday, 25 October 2016

U.S. business borrowing for equipment up 12 pct in Sept. - ELFA

Dear Viewers,

Oct 25 Borrowings by U.S. companies for capital investment rose 12 percent in September from a year earlier, the Equipment Leasing and Finance Association (ELFA) said on Tuesday.

Companies signed up for $9.4 billion in new loans, leases and lines of credit last month, said the Washington-based trade group, which reports economic activity for the $1 trillion U.S. equipment finance industry.

The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to keep interest rates low has spurred businesses to spend more on equipment, ELFA Chief Executive Ralph Petta said in a statement.

However, total new borrowings in the first nine months of the year fell 4 percent, ELFA said.

In September, credit approvals fell to 76.6 percent of all applications submitted from 76.9 percent in August, ELFA said.

There is pent up demand for capital investment, but given the unpredictable domestic environment and the economic headwinds globally, the unevenness may last for several months, said Stan Walker, managing director of JPMorgan Equipment Finance.

ELFA's leasing and finance index tracks the volume of commercial equipment financed in the United States. The index complements the U.S. Commerce Department's durable goods orders report, which it precedes by a few days.

The index is based on a survey of 25 lenders, including Bank of America Corp, BB&T Corp, CIT Group Inc and the financing affiliates or units of Caterpillar Inc , Deere & Co, Siemens AG and Volvo AB .

Separately, the Equipment Leasing & Finance Foundation, ELFA's non-profit affiliate, said its confidence index rose to 56.0 for October from 53.8 for September.

The index is an indicator of the outlook for the equipment finance market, with a reading above 50 suggesting a positive outlook.

NEW YORK, Oct 25 The U.S. Treasury Department on Tuesday sold $26 billion of a two-year debt issue at a yield of 0.855 percent, its highest since a two-year note auction held in May, Treasury data showed.

* James Flynn reports 4.51 percent passive stake in Blueprint Medicines Corp as of October 20 - sec filing Source text : http://bit.ly/2eCWk3R Further company coverage:

 DUBAI, Oct 25 Billionaire Mohamed Alabbar, one of Dubai's most prominent businessmen, plans a phone messaging service for the Middle East that aims to compete with services such as WhatsApp. Thanks.